podcast

Next Level 321: The Real Estate Cycle: Where We Are Right Now

18
Aug

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One thing about the current real estate cycle caught me off guard, and today I’m breaking down exactly what I found.
For years I’ve tracked where we are in the roughly 18.6 year real estate cycle: seven years up, a mid-cycle slowdown, another seven years up, then a four year reset. That pattern has held since the 1850s. But when you overlay inflation on top of housing prices, the picture changes. Nominal prices kept climbing, but real prices actually peaked back in 2022.
In this episode, I walk through how I track this cycle, the indicator I’m watching most closely right now, and what it means for the types of properties and investments we’re making at Next Level Income today.
In this episode:
– The 18.6 year real estate cycle, and the four phases that make it up
– Why land prices, not building prices, are the real signal to watch
– The surprising twist when you overlay inflation on housing price data
– The recession indicator I’m watching most closely right now
– Why we like “being the bank” in this part of the cycle, and what that looks like
This episode is for educational purposes only and is not financial, tax, or legal advice.
Next steps:
– Get your free copy of How To Be Financially Free By Forty: http://www.nextlevelincome.com/financialfreedombook

Christopher Larsen is the founder and Managing Partner of Next-Level Income. Since “retiring” after 18 years in the medical device industry he dedicates his time to helping others become financially independent through education and investment opportunities. Chris has been investing in and managing real estate for over 20 years.

While completing his degree in Biomechanical Engineering and M.B.A. in Finance at Virginia Tech, he bought his first single-family rental at age 21. Chris expanded into development, private-lending, buying distressed debt as well as commercial office, and ultimately syndicating multifamily properties. He began syndicating deals in 2016 and has been actively involved in over $500M of real estate acquisitions.

In addition to real estate, Chris has invested in equities, oil & gas, and small business lending, as well as being active in Venture South, one of the nation’s Top 10 Angel Investing groups. Chris lives with his wife and two boys (and Viszla, Lucy!) in Asheville, NC where he loves spending time with them in the outdoors and enjoying the food and culture that the region has to offer.

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